TitleRisk and performance analysis of ports and waterways
NameAlmaz, Ozhan Alper (author), Altiok, Tayfur (chair), Jafari, Mohsen A. (co-chair), Luxhoj, James T. (internal member), Baykal-Gursoy, Melike (internal member), Greenberg, Michael R. (outside member), Rutgers University, Graduate School - New Brunswick,
SubjectIndustrial and Systems Engineering,
Harbors--Traffic control ,
Delaware Bay (Del. and N.J.),
Delaware River (N.Y.-Del. and N.J.)
DescriptionDelaware River is one of the major maritime arteries in the U.S. The port has a number of major petroleum refineries making it one of the most critical petroleum infrastructures in the U.S. Consequently, in addition to port performance issues, major safety vulnerabilities exist in view of the vessel traffic in the river carrying potentially dangerous cargo, dry cargo as well as passenger ships, among others. In this research, several issues regarding the risk and performance analysis of ports and waterways are investigated through the case of Delaware River and Bay. The issues pertaining to Delaware River are common to many other ports and waterway systems. Thus, modeling and analysis approaches presented herein provide guidelines that can be implemented to other systems. The dissertation presents a simulation model of the vessel traffic in Delaware River and Bay (DRB) involving all vessel types and all the port terminal facilities along the navigable river. The simulation model is built to be able to perform scenario and policy analyses, including investigation of the effects on port performance of deepening the main ship channel and dredging at terminals. The model is also used to examine the feasibility and the effects of port expansion projects, and to perform logistics and risk analysis in the DRB area. A probabilistic risk model is developed using historical data and expert opinion elicitation for the unknown accident and consequence probabilities of various situations. The risk model is incorporated into the simulation model to be able to evaluate risks and to produce a risk profile of the entire river. The important topic of vessel prioritization is studied using the simulation and the risk models. Vessel prioritization rules are used for entry into the river during recovery operations following a channel-closing event, and their impact on risk and port performance measures are evaluated. Finally, vessel arrival processes at terminals are examined with reference to the real life practice at ports and waterways. These processes are characterized with one-dimensional point processes, and variation and correlation properties are investigated. The focus is modeling vessel arrivals with specific correlation properties to use in simulation studies.
NoteIncludes bibliographical references
Noteby Ozhan Alper Almaz
CollectionGraduate School - New Brunswick Electronic Theses and Dissertations
Organization NameRutgers, The State University of New Jersey
RightsThe author owns the copyright to this work.